Tailgate intelligence

Today's Edge

Tailgate intelligence

Today's Edge

AI breakdowns of today's games — injuries, form & the angle, cited.

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Featured · NCAAF9/11 - 7:00 PM EDT

The clearest edge: both the market and ESPN model overwhelmingly favor Louisville — market implies a 96% win probability and ESPN projects Louisville at 98.3% (Villanova 1.7%).

9/11 - 7:00 PM EDT

ESPN’s model gives Virginia a 99.8% win projection vs Norfolk St’s 0.2%, the clearest single edge on the sheet.

9/11 - 8:00 PM EDT

Both the ESPN model and the market favor Missouri: ESPN projects Missouri 63.2% (Kansas 36.8%), while the de‑vigged market prices Missouri at 66% (-219).

ESPN’s model gives Miami a 100% win projection and Miami is 1-0 while Florida A&M is 1-1 — the sheet’s clearest quantitative edge is Miami’s projected dominance (100% vs 0%).

9/12 - 12:00 PM EDT

ESPN model projects Indiana to win 99.9% of the time versus Howard's 0.1%, signaling an overwhelmingly lopsided game expectation.

9/12 - 12:00 PM EDT

Both the ESPN model (Oregon 93%) and the de-vigged market (Oregon ~92%) strongly favor Oregon — the clearest single edge in the sheet.

9/12 - 12:00 PM EDT

Both the ESPN model (Texas A&M 88.6%) and the de‑vigged market (Texas A&M implied 83% win prob) strongly favor Texas A&M — that gap is the clearest edge the sheet shows.

9/12 - 12:00 PM EDT

Primary edge: both the ESPN MODEL (Oklahoma 64.4%) and the market (de‑vigged, Oklahoma 66% implied) align in favor of Oklahoma, so there’s minimal model/market divergence to exploit.

9/12 - 12:00 PM EDT

Both the ESPN model (Penn State 94.2%) and the de‑vigged market (Penn State 93%) overwhelmingly project Penn State to win — that split is the single biggest edge here.

9/12 - 12:45 PM EDT

ESPN model makes this a blowout: Georgia 99.2% win projection vs Western KY 0.8%.

9/12 - 3:30 PM EDT

ESPN MODEL gives Notre Dame a 99.4% win projection versus Rice's 0.6% — the clearest single edge in the sheet.

9/12 - 3:30 PM EDT

Both the ESPN model (Alabama 84.6%) and the de-vigged market (Alabama -412 implying a 77% win probability) strongly favor Alabama.

9/12 - 3:30 PM EDT

Primary edge: both the ESPN model and the de‑vigged market align on BYU — ESPN projects BYU 76.8% to win and the market prices BYU at 72%.

9/12 - 3:30 PM EDT

The single biggest edge: both the ESPN MODEL (Washington 94% / Utah State 6%) and the de-vigged market (Utah State +1560 / Washington -4300) put Washington at a 94% win probability.

9/12 - 4:00 PM EDT

ESPN model overwhelmingly favors SMU (96.7%) over UC Davis (3.3%) — the single strongest numeric edge on the sheet.

9/12 - 7:00 PM EDT

Consensus edge to Tennessee: ESPN projects Tennessee 76.5% to win and the de-vigged market implies an 80% win probability for Tennessee.

9/12 - 7:00 PM EDT

ESPN projects Houston as a near-lock: 99.7% win probability vs Southern’s 0.3%.

9/12 - 7:30 PM EDT

ESPN model gives Texas a 59.9% win projection vs Ohio State 40.1%, a 19.8-percentage-point edge toward Texas.

9/12 - 7:30 PM EDT

ESPN MODEL heavily favors LSU — 98.1% to 1.9% — which is the clearest edge shown on the sheet.

9/12 - 7:30 PM EDT

Both the ESPN model and the de-vigged market put Texas Tech at a 94% win probability.

9/12 - 7:30 PM EDT

Largest edge: ESPN MODEL gives Iowa an 84.5% win projection vs Iowa State's 15.5%, a substantial market-facing gap.

9/12 - 7:45 PM EDT

ESPN MODEL projects Ole Miss to win 98.7% of the time vs Charlotte at 1.3%, the clearest single edge on the sheet.

9/12 - 10:15 PM EDT

The clear edge: Utah is the consensus favorite — ESPN projects Utah at 81.8% while the de‑vigged market implies a 79% win probability (Utah -489 / Arkansas +362).

9/12 - 11:00 PM EDT

The clearest edge: ESPN projects USC a 96.9% win probability vs Louisiana’s 3.1%, a dominant market advantage in the sheet.